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Real returns · Inflation-adjusted

Inflation-adjusted savings calculator

Most savings calculators lie about your target. They tell you to save for $1M in 30 years — but $1M then only buys $400K of today's stuff. This calculator solves for the monthly investment that preserves real buying power.

Last reviewed May 22, 2026Fact-checked against primary sourcesEditorial standards
Built from: IRS · FINRA · SEC · BLS · Federal Reserve · Freddie Mac · Methodology & sources
The math everyone gets wrong

"Save $500/mo at 8% for 30 years → $750K" is true in nominal dollars. In real terms (today's buying power), that's worth ~$310K. If your goal is "I want $1M of today's spending power in 30 years," you actually need ~$2.4M nominal. The fix: enter your goal in today's dollars; the calculator does the inflation math for you.

The rule of compounding inflation

Inflation compounds like investment returns — but works against you. At 3% inflation: prices double every ~24 years (rule of 72: 72÷3). So a $100K lifestyle today costs $200K in 24 years. The most underrated effect: this happens silently, every year, regardless of what you do.

Common goals in real vs nominal terms (2026)

Goal in today's $YearsNominal $ needed (3% infl)Monthly @ 8% return
$500K10$672K$3,640
$500K20$903K$1,560
$1M20$1.81M$3,120
$1M30$2.43M$1,690
$2M30$4.85M$3,380
$2M40$6.52M$1,830

Starting balance assumed $0. Each additional $10K already invested reduces required monthly by roughly the cell's amount divided by 10.

Why "real return" is the only number that matters long-term

Real return = (1 + nominal) ÷ (1 + inflation) − 1. For a stock portfolio returning 10% nominal in a 3% inflation environment: real return ≈ 6.8%. That's what your money actually grows in buying power. If a financial advisor projects 10% returns without subtracting inflation, the projection is misleading.

S&P 500 long-run real return is approximately 6.5-7% per year (geometric mean, 1928-2023). That's after inflation. The 10% nominal you sometimes see in headlines includes ~3% of inflation that wasn't actually buying power growth.

Inflation-hedge assets

  • Stocks (broad index): historically the strongest long-run inflation hedge. Companies pass costs through to prices. 6-7% real return.
  • TIPS: principal adjusts with CPI semi-annually. Guaranteed real return = current TIPS yield. Currently ~1.5-2% real (lower in low-inflation years).
  • I-Bonds: rate resets every 6 months based on CPI. Capped at $10K/yr/person purchase. Best for emergency-fund portion.
  • Real estate: rents and home values typically track inflation over decades. Leveraged real estate (mortgage) is a strong inflation hedge — you pay back the loan in cheaper dollars.
  • Cash / savings: WORST inflation hedge. HYSA at 4% in a 3% inflation environment is only 1% real return.

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