{ "@context": "https://schema.org", "@type": "Dataset", "name": "S&P 500 Rolling Total Returns by 10-, 20-, and 30-Year Window (1928-2024)", "alternateName": [ "S&P 500 rolling returns dataset", "S&P 500 rolling-window CAGR data" ], "description": "Every complete 10, 20, 30-year rolling window from the annual S&P 500 total-return series, with nominal CAGR, CPI-adjusted real CAGR, end-value multipliers and cumulative inflation. Source data covers 1928-2024.", "version": "2024.1", "creator": { "@type": "Organization", "name": "Snowballr Research Team", "url": "https://snowballr.io/editorial-standards" }, "publisher": { "@type": "Organization", "name": "Snowballr", "url": "https://snowballr.io" }, "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/", "licenseScope": "CC-BY 4.0 applies to Snowballr's compilation, derived calculations, metadata, and documentation. Underlying source datasets retain their own terms.", "isBasedOn": [ { "@type": "Dataset", "name": "Damodaran Historical Returns on Stocks, Bonds and Bills", "url": "https://pages.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/" }, { "@type": "Dataset", "name": "Shiller CAPE dataset (cross-reference)", "url": "http://www.econ.yale.edu/~shiller/data.htm" }, { "@type": "Dataset", "name": "BLS CPI-U", "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/" } ], "temporalCoverage": "1928-2024", "spatialCoverage": "United States", "citation": "Snowballr Research Team. S&P 500 rolling total returns (1928-2024) [Dataset]. Snowballr Open Data. https://snowballr.io/data/sp500-rolling-returns.json", "methodology": "For each window, multiply the annual total-return factors and annual CPI-U inflation factors across the inclusive calendar years. Nominal CAGR = nominalEndMultiplier^(1/windowYears)-1. Real end multiplier = nominal end multiplier / cumulative inflation multiplier; real CAGR = realEndMultiplier^(1/windowYears)-1. The start value is $1 at the year-end immediately before startYear; dividends are reinvested annually. No fees, taxes, or bid/ask costs are deducted. Values are derived from the committed annual source series; see source records above and the research page for full assumptions.", "fields": { "windowYears": "Inclusive number of annual return observations in the holding window.", "startYear": "First calendar year in the return window; initial $1 is valued at the prior year-end.", "endYear": "Last calendar year in the return window.", "nominalCAGR": "Annualized nominal total return as a decimal, with dividends reinvested.", "realCAGR": "Annualized total return as a decimal after cumulative CPI-U inflation adjustment.", "nominalEndMultiplier": "Nominal ending value per $1 invested at the prior year-end.", "realEndMultiplier": "Inflation-adjusted ending value per $1 in prior-year-end purchasing power.", "cumulativeInflationMultiplier": "Product of annual CPI-U inflation factors across the window." }, "distributions": [ { "@type": "DataDownload", "name": "JSON", "encodingFormat": "application/json", "contentUrl": "https://snowballr.io/data/sp500-rolling-returns.json" }, { "@type": "DataDownload", "name": "CSV", "encodingFormat": "text/csv", "contentUrl": "https://snowballr.io/data/sp500-rolling-returns.csv" }, { "@type": "DataDownload", "name": "Methodology and interactive tables", "encodingFormat": "text/html", "contentUrl": "https://snowballr.io/research/sp500-rolling-30-year-returns" } ], "data": [ { "windowYears": 10, "startYear": 1928, "endYear": 1937, "nominalCAGR": -0.006174263757706022, "realCAGR": 0.01223659998215254, "nominalEndMultiplier": 0.9399448896509901, "realEndMultiplier": 1.1293286937728408, "cumulativeInflationMultiplier": 0.8323040889989604 }, { "windowYears": 10, "startYear": 1929, "endYear": 1938, "nominalCAGR": -0.01670356451826993, "realCAGR": 0.002439107232163451, "nominalEndMultiplier": 0.8449765338577293, "realEndMultiplier": 1.024660537061433, "cumulativeInflationMultiplier": 0.8246404572981707 }, { "windowYears": 10, "startYear": 1930, "endYear": 1939, 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